Bayes Estimation and Classical Reliability Estimation Methods of Initiating Devices
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The conservation of GO,NO-GO Method in GJB 376-87 "Assessment Method of Reliability for Initiating Devices" and the Bayes method of reliability for initiating devices were discussed in the paper. A new GO,NO-GO Method was designed to estimate reliability of initiating devices with less sample-amount. It was deduced using statistical theory and mathematical methods. The Bayes, the new proposed and classical estimation methods were compared experimentally. The results show that the former two exhibit better reliability estimation for initiating devices than the classical estimation, and the new method requires less sample-amount than the other two.
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周美林,蔡瑞娇,韩敦信.火工品可靠度的经典估计与Bayes估计[J].含能材料,2005,13(2):94-98. ZHOU Mei-lin, CAI Rui-jiao, HAN Dun-xin. Bayes Estimation and Classical Reliability Estimation Methods of Initiating Devices[J]. Chinese Journal of Energetic Materials,2005,13(2):94-98.